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In: Asian survey, Band 59, Heft 3, S. 407-428
ISSN: 1533-838X
Following Sri Lanka, Pakistan is rapidly accumulating billions of dollars of Chinese debt under the Belt and Road Initiative. This paper argues that that initiative's disregard for the economic viability of projects and the domestic limitations of countries like Sri Lanka and Pakistan have both external and internal ramifications for the recipient countries.
Schon vor der Corona-Pandemie belasteten finanzielle und geopolitische Probleme die "Neue Seidenstraße": Chinas Gesamtinvestitionen gehen seit Jahren zurück, wichtige Bauprojekte sind unrentabel, die Partner in Ost- und Südosteuropa wenden sich ab, und umweltschädliche Vorhaben stoßen zunehmend auf Widerstand. Seit 2020 bieten wohlhabende Demokratien verstärkt Alternativen, und auch die Volksrepublik stundet Schulden. Xi Jinping forciert daher neben dem 'BRI Green Partnership' vor allem die "Digital Silk Road" und "China Standards 2035", also globale Technologie- und Normierungsprojekte. ; Even before the coronavirus pandemic, financial and geopolitical problems were weighing on the 'New Silk Road': China's overall investment has been declining for years, key construction projects are unprofitable, partners in Eastern and Southeastern Europe are turning away, and environmentally harmful projects are increasingly meeting resistance. Since 2020, affluent democracies reinforce alternatives and the People's Republic also defers debt. In addition to the "BRI Green Partnership", Xi Jinping is therefore pushing the "Digital Silk Road" and "China Standards 2035", i. e. global technology and standardisation projects.
BASE
World Affairs Online
In: Rethinking Asia and international relations
Responses to the Belt and Road Initiative : a regional perspective / Jonathan Fulton -- Localizing China's global silk Roads through the "17+1" / Emilian Kavalski -- China's BRI in South Asia : unique characteristics and general framework / Jabin T. Jacob -- Central Asia in BR I: policy-taker or policy-shaper? / Li-Chen Sim and Farkhod Aminjonov -- China's maritime silk road : the Horn of Africa and Red Sea / David Styan -- The Gulf monarchies in the Belt and Road Initiative : domestic, regional, and international pressures / Jonathan Fulton -- Bumps in the maritime silk road : domestic politics and the BRI in ASEAN states / Daniel O'Neill.
This paper explores the impact of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), in terms of changes in trade costs on trade and consumer welfare in China, the EU, and the rest of the World. We employ a general equilibrium structural gravity approach and conduct a counterfactual analysis. Our key findings are as follows: (i) China and the EU are expected to make substantial gains from the BRI due to reductions in transport costs (ii) signing and implementing a deep FTA between China and the EU is equivalent to transport cost reductions of 15-20 percent (iii) the joint policy of the BRI and FTA is super-additive, magnifying the gains from the separate policies (iv) where transport cost reductions are 20 percent or more, the potential negative effect of the China-US trade war on China is more than compensated for by the BRI initiative. Our results provide evidence that the BRI has the potential to deliver significant welfare gains, particularly if combined with other trade integration schemes, and to counterbalance aggressive trade policies.
BASE
In: Asia in Transition
This open access book provokes critical thinking regarding the most ambitious Chinese project since the founding of the People's Republic of China, The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). The book presents extensive quality research and original insights in assessing the status of China's outbound investment and construction projects under the BRI umbrella. Referring to case studies and projects of selected countries from Southeast Asia, Central Asia, and the Middle East, the author sheds new light on the issues and problems associated with the BRI's implementation and discusses both the readjustments and prospects for the BRI. Finally, this book demarcates the limits and potential of the world's second largest economy in pushing for the BRI, which is challenged by enormous domestic tensions and external pressures. It also identifies and analyzes potential new collaboration areas between the Belt and Road countries and China under the BRI framework in the context of the post-COVID-19 era. It provides an outstanding reference for academics, students, policymakers, and the business community working in areas of international affairs and Asian economics and development, particularly those interested in Sino-relations and Chinese power dynamics in the global world order.
SSRN
Working paper
In: Global policy: gp, Band 10, Heft 2, S. 207-216
ISSN: 1758-5899
AbstractThis article studies the formation process of China's belt and road initiative (BRI) – the most important Chinese foreign policy initiative under Xi Jinping. It argues that the BRI was put forward as a broad policy idea that was subsequently developed with relatively concrete content. During this process, the shifting international landscapes have gradually driven the BRI from a periphery strategy into a global initiative. By examining the case of Jiangsu Province, this article also shows how Chinese local governments have actively deployed their preferred narratives to influence and (re‐)interpret the BRI guidelines of the central government in order to advance their own interests. As a result, this produces a variety of competing, ambiguous and contradictory policy narratives of the BRI within China, which undermines the Chinese central government's monopoly on the BRI narratives. This leaves the BRI as a very vague and broad policy slogan that is subject to change and open to interpretation. In this regard, the existing analyses – that consider the BRI as Beijing's masterplan to achieve its geopolitical goals – pay insufficient attention to the BRI's domestic contestation and overstate the BRI's geopolitical implications.
This article studies the formation process of China's belt and road initiative (BRI) – the most important Chinese foreign policy initiative under Xi Jinping. It argues that the BRI was put forward as a broad policy idea that was subsequently developed with relatively concrete content. During this process, the shifting international landscapes have gradually driven the BRI from a periphery strategy into a global initiative. By examining the case of Jiangsu Province, this article also shows how Chinese local governments have actively deployed their preferred narratives to influence and (re‐)interpret the BRI guidelines of the central government in order to advance their own interests. As a result, this produces a variety of competing, ambiguous and contradictory policy narratives of the BRI within China, which undermines the Chinese central government's monopoly on the BRI narratives. This leaves the BRI as a very vague and broad policy slogan that is subject to change and open to interpretation. In this regard, the existing analyses – that consider the BRI as Beijing's masterplan to achieve its geopolitical goals – pay insufficient attention to the BRI's domestic contestation and overstate the BRI's geopolitical implications.
BASE
In: Business with China
The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is one of the most talked about yet little understood policy initiatives of the People's Republic of China. This book offers a comprehensive, balanced and policy-oriented assessment of the BRI's first ten years and what it has meant for the world's businesses, polities and societies. The authors explore China's role as a globally significant source of development finance and investment capital, and examine the political, economic, normative, environmental and social implications of its increased presence in the world.Aimed at researchers and academics, business professionals and policy analysts, as well as informed readers, the book seeks to answer some of the most pressing questions that China's rising economic presence in global markets poses: how is the BRI organized? Is it China's grand strategy? Is it green, is it corrupt, and what are its social effects? Is there even a future for the BRI in a world beset by new uncertainties? The book offers a sober analysis of the most prevalent narratives that cast China as a 'threat' and as an 'opportunity' and considers the specific challenges that it presents for the liberal international order.
In: Asia-Pacific - Annual Research Journal of Far East & South East Asia, Band 37
Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) also recognized as One Belt and One Road (OBOR) is currently renowned external policy initiative of China for regional connectivity. It is a massive infrastructure and transportation project. The study attempts to understand this initiative in broader perspective in terms of big changes at regional and global level. This paper argues that BRI is not just a project of building roads and bridges, but it will simultaneously heighten strategic and economic capability of China. Furthermore, it argues that, China's quest to enhance regional connectivity will be purely based on economic activities. In the meantime, Beijing will use its fiscal leverage to influence the policies of aligned countries to line up with its interests. This paper addresses three main questions: What is the significance of BRI with emphasis on its main objectives? How does this initiative help advance China's interests? What are the expected challenges to BRI?
In: Springer eBooks
In: Economics and Finance
Part One What is the Belt and Road Initiative -- Part Two What can the Belt and Road Initiative Do -- Part Three The Belt and Road in History -- Part Four What did we Benefit from the Belt and Road in History -- Part Five How will Different Industries Participate in the Belt and Road Initiative -- Part Six Investment Risks and Risk Aversions in the Belt and Road -- Part Seven Overseas Voices and Countermeasures
In: Series on China's Belt and Road Initiative v. 6
"This book explores a wide range of topics related to the policies and implementation of the BRI. The topics include the associated risks and challenges, new opportunities for multilateral cooperation, and approaches to promoting the BRI among participating countries. The book analyzes how people and governments in Russia, Egypt, Pakistan, the US, Malaysia, Turkey, Singapore, India and 22 other countries respond to the BRI, and BRI's impact on the dynamics of national, regional and global development. The book's chapters are based on papers presented at the "International Symposium of the Belt and Road Initiative in the Global Perspective", co-organized by the National Institute for Global Strategy of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and Beijing Foreign Studies University in Beijing. A total of 39 experts from more than 30 countries have contributed to this book."--